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Just thought I would float this one. Despite my encouraging words on the public side, I do have a couple of concerns.

There is an increasing volume of installations being undertaken for Social Housing providers in large quantities. We have been approached three times this year to undertake roof work and other aspects of installation on such projects (probably for washers), which I have declined to get involved with.

The generosity of the FIT at current rates means it is possible to finance such programmes from its revenues. Minimum finance sum is normally ÂŁ1m. Has to be this level to get low enough interest rate. Housing associations are also seen as a very safe bet in terms of lending.

This is anecdotal, but I suspect this is an important element driving current volumes. As lead times can be long in getting such projects up and running, we may see a significant leap in volumes as they come to fruition. We have just witnessed a super degression in a higher band where there was insufficient volume. Not wishing to be gloomy, it may not be out of the question in the 0-10kW band.

Interested to know others observations on this. I really hope I am wrong, as accelerated degression would continue until a level was reached where the financial model for social housing was no longer viable.

One other to keep a weather eye on is new build. Allowable Solutions in the dilution of English Building Standards could see significant increases in this market. Currently it is still eligible for FIT. Anecdotally I have also heard of discussion with builders where increasing PV could mean decreasing other interventions and still meet emission standards. The increased cost of PV could be less than the savings in other measures.

Scottish Building standards also change this Autumn, and solar could become almost standard fitment to meet them.

Just hope FIT is removed quickly from new build as they would still have to do it. The FIT itself is also of no benefit to the volume house builder.
 
To add the new build mix, sneaked through in the Deregulation Act 2015 (more powers to Local Goverment) was the abolition of the 'Code for Sustainable Homes', they also removed the ability for local authorities to add their own requirements on energy efficiency, in its palce they have set a new 'standard level' which means that ALL new builds given permission since 26th March 2015 mus meet Code 4 - i.e. 20% Renewable energy. They all managed to meet Code 3 with better insulation etc, to meet Code 4 they are going to need PV (as the cheapest option), with a scheduled increases to the new lowered target of zero carbon by 2020 (lowered as all appliances are now excluded from the calcs..)

Maybe they'll amend it the same as the Domestic RHI, i.e. developer build - no FiT, self build - FiT eligible. - that would make good sense :)
 

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