The background (you don’t need to know this, but it may help) …
a)The chart was developed by first modelling a series of different shade scenarios using proprietary software. The shade factor for each case was recorded. The initial model assumed a 3kWp system, pitched at 30°, facing due south, located in Birmingham.
b)Shade factors from various different iterations of an MCS chart design were then compared to the model results
c)Once a draft design was established, more modelling was done to see how the chart coped with arrays of different pitches and orientations, and also for other geographic locations The resulting chart is clearly a compromise … as stated in the PV guide it “yields results within 10% for most systems”.
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After all, installers are free to use modelling software and present an alternative estimate to the customer if they wish.
and later on:
It is recognised that installers may want to present an alternative estimate of system performance to the client – particularly where they are concerned that the MCS method is not as accurate as they would like.
In such circumstances, the PV Guide states:
“Additional estimates may be provided using an alternative methodology, including proprietary software packages, but any such estimates must clearly describe and justify the approach taken and factors used and must not be given greater prominence than the standard MCS estimate.”
“In addition, it must be accompanied by a warning stating that it should be treated with caution if it is significantly greater than the result given by the standard method.”