Its taken a while but here is the reference:
"Long-term failures of twist-on connectors was studied by BĂ©land [45]. When two copper wires were
joined by a twist-on connector without adequate tightening, he found that failures commonly occur
due to metal loss, but this always occurred “several inches” away from the connector, not at the
connector itself. This was discovered to be a corrosion problem. Overheating of the connector
liberates HCl gas from the PVC wire; the gas is corrosive and attacks copper. Over long periods,
metal loss occurs to the point that a connection can be completely severed"
from Citation: Babrauskas, V., phd, How Do Electrical Wiring Faults Lead to Structure Ignitions? pp. 39-51 in Proc. Fire
and Materials 2001 Conf., Interscience Communications Ltd., London (2001).