One thing I've not really seen discussed when they are showing the graphs on telly is "how many would normally be dying anyway" and "how many who are dying would be expected to have died in the next few months anyway". A LOT of people die every day normally, more so during the annual flu season. While it's clear that more are dying now, by no means all of them are "because coronavirus".
I realise it can be seen as a bit tasteless or macabre talking about people's lives like this, but it's reality and any rational discussion needs to consider it - and especially discussion of when/how restrictions are lifted need to consider it.
And, when I asked a well known search engine how many normally die, the second result was this
well laid out article from the BBC. The normal figure for this time of year is around 10,000 deaths/week - but total deaths according to the article, in the week to 3rd April, the figure went up to 16,000, so 6,000 above the norm. I expect it's gone higher by now.
Hindsight will fill in the blanks.
If there is a lull and weekly deaths drop below normal later in the year, then that could signal that possibly all that's happened is that people who would have died soon anyway have died a little earlier.
And of course there is one thing many people have failed to notice. The current guidance is not intended to stop the virus altogether - it's intended to keep the illness rate below the capacity of the NHS (and other care sectors) to deal with it. It's to a certain extent essential that people mingle and share it around - so that people can get it, recover, and then have at least temporary immunity. When enough people have immunity, the epidemic will fizzle out and become a background illness like so many others are - with the care sectors able to cope with the volumes.
BTW, here's a little puzzle for you - I claim no originality for it.
You have a large pond, and notice an invasive weed has arrived in it. The weed doubles in area every day, and in 30 days will completely cover the pond. After how many days will the pond be half covered ?
As it happens, there is a remedy that will kill the weed without destroying the environment, but there's a 10 day lead time before it takes effect. When is the last time you can apply it to prevent the pond being completely choked ?
And lastly, assuming you get that timing right, how much of the pond is covered by the weed when you apply the treatment ?